Weather and Forecasting Journal

Overview

publication venue for

• Regime-Dependent Characteristics and Predictability of Cold-Season Precipitation Events in the St. Lawrence River Valley 2024
• Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center’s Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions 2024
• Subseasonal Potential Predictability of Horizontal Water Vapor Transport and Precipitation Extremes in the North Pacific 2024
• An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States 2024
• A Case Study Investigating the Low Summertime CAPE Behavior in the Global Forecast System 2024
• The 30 December 2021 Colorado Front Range Windstorm and Marshall Fire: Evolution of Surface and 3D Structure, NWP Guidance, NWS Forecasts, and Decision Support 2023
• Using Object-Based Verification to Assess Improvements in Forecasts of Convective Storms between Operational HRRR Versions 3 and 4 2023
• Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods 2023
• Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA's Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols) 2023
• Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota 2023
• Model Evaluation by Measurements from Collocated Remote Sensors in Complex Terrain 2022
• Diagnostics of Tropical Variability for Numerical Weather Forecasts 2022
• North Pacific and North Atlantic Jet Covariability and Its Relationship to Cool Season Temperature and Precipitation Extremes 2022
• Radar Reflectivity-Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration 2022
• The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part I: Motivation and System Description 2022
• The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance 2022
• Atmospheric River Reconnaissance 2021: A Review 2022
• Demonstrating a Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimate for Evaluating Precipitation Forecasts in Complex Terrain 2022
• Doppler Lidar Evaluation of HRRR Model Skill at Simulating Summertime Wind Regimes in the Columbia River Basin during WFIP2 2021
• Evaluating Operational and Experimental HRRR Model Forecasts of Atmospheric River Events in California 2021
• Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model over Arctic Alaska 2021
• Large-Sample Application of Radar Reflectivity Object-Based Verification to Evaluate HRRR Warm-Season Forecasts 2021
• Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product 2021
• Wind Ramp Events Validation in NWP Forecast Models during the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) Using the Ramp Tool and Metric (RT&M) 2020
• Ensemble Variability in Rainfall Forecasts of Hurricane Irene (2011) 2020
• Improving Air Quality Predictions over the United States with an Analog Ensemble 2020
• Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers 2020
• Forecasters’ Cognitive Task Analysis and Mental Workload Analysis of Issuing Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) during FACETs PHI Prototype Experiment 2020
• Present and Past Sea Surface Temperatures: A Recipe for Better Seasonal Climate Forecasts 2020
• Recommendations for Developing Useful and Usable Convection-Allowing Model Ensemble Information for NWS Forecasters 2020
• The Lightning and Dual-Polarization Radar Characteristics of Three Hail-Accumulating Thunderstorms 2020
• An Evaluation of a Hybrid, Terrain-Following Vertical Coordinate in the WRF-Based RAP and HRRR Models 2020
• Evaluation of the Grell-Freitas Convective Scheme in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model 2020
• Regional September Sea Ice Forecasting with Complex Networks and Gaussian Processes 2020
• The Performance of a Revised Simplified Arakawa–Schubert (SAS) Convection Scheme in the Medium-Range Forecasts of the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) 2020
• Characterizing and Constraining Uncertainty Associated with Surface and Boundary Layer Turbulent Fluxes in Simulations of Lake-Effect Snowfall 2020
• The Motion of Mesoscale Snowbands in Northeast US Winter Storms 2020
• Improvement of Mountain-Wave Turbulence Forecasts in NOAA's Rapid Refresh (RAP) Model with the Hybrid Vertical Coordinate System 2019
• Antecedent North Pacific Jet Regimes Conducive to the Development of Continental US Extreme Temperature Events during the Cool Season 2019
• The Development of the North Pacific Jet Phase Diagram as an Objective Tool to Monitor the State and Forecast Skill of the Upper-Tropospheric Flow Pattern 2019
• Using Operational Radar to Identify Deep Hail Accumulations from Thunderstorms 2019
• Assessments of Surface Winds and Waves from the NCEP Ensemble Forecast System 2018
• Long-Term Performance Metrics for National Weather Service Tornado Warnings 2018
• Precipitation Forecast Experiments Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at Gray-Zone Resolutions 2018
• Impact of UAS Global Hawk Dropsonde Data on Tropical and Extratropical Cyclone Forecasts in 2016 2018
• Development of a Human–Machine Mix for Forecasting Severe Convective Events 2018
• Polarimetric Radar and Surface-Based Precipitation-Type Observations of Ice Pellet to Freezing Rain Transitions 2017
• Radiance Preprocessing for Assimilation in the Hourly Updating Rapid Refresh Mesoscale Model: A Study Using AIRS Data 2017
• Updates in the NCEP GFS Cumulus Convection Schemes with Scale and Aerosol Awareness 2017
• Breaking New Ground in Severe Weather Prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment 2017
• Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation within the Hourly Updated Rapid Refresh 2017
• Improving NOAA NAQFC PM_2.5 Predictions with a Bias Correction Approach 2017
• A Self-Organizing-Map-Based Evaluation of the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System Using Observations from a 30-m Instrumented Tower on the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica 2017
• The Influence of Topography on Convective Storm Environments in the Eastern United States as Deduced from the HRRR 2016
• A Wind Energy Ramp Tool and Metric for Measuring the Skill of Numerical Weather Prediction Models 2016
• Polarimetric Radar Observations of Precipitation Type and Rate from the 2-3 March 2014 Winter Storm in Oklahoma and Arkansas 2016
• The POWER Experiment: Impact of Assimilation of a Network of Coastal Wind Profiling Radars on Simulating Offshore Winds in and above the Wind Turbine Layer 2016
• Comments on "A Comparison of Temperature and Wind Measurements from ACARS-Equipped Aircraft and Rawinsondes" 2016
• The Extreme Wind Events in the Ross Island Region of Antarctica 2016
• Colorado Plowable Hailstorms: Synoptic Weather, Radar, and Lightning Characteristics 2016
• Explicit Precipitation-Type Diagnosis from a Model Using a Mixed-Phase Bulk Cloud-Precipitation Microphysics Parameterization 2016
• Evaluation of a Probabilistic Forecasting Methodology for Severe Convective Weather in the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed 2015
• Blending of Global and Regional Analyses with a Spatial Filter: Application to Typhoon Prediction over the Western North Pacific Ocean 2015
• Simulation of the Summer Monsoon Rainfall over East Asia Using the NCEP GFS Cumulus Parameterization at Different Horizontal Resolutions 2014
• Extreme Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance at the Weather Prediction Center from 2001 to 2011 2014
• The Role of a Polar/Subtropical Jet Superposition in the May 2010 Nashville Flood 2014
• Probabilistic Evaluation of the Dynamics and Prediction of Supertyphoon Megi (2010) 2013
• The Impact of Large-Scale Forcing on Skill of Simulated Convective Initiation and Upscale Evolution with Convection-Allowing Grid Spacings in the WRF 2013
• Verification of Convection-Allowing WRF Model Forecasts of the Planetary Boundary Layer Using Sounding Observations 2013
• Tornado Pathlength Forecasts from 2010 to 2011 Using Ensemble Updraft Helicity 2013
• Measured Severe Convective Wind Climatology and Associated Convective Modes of Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States, 2003-09 2013
• Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States 2012
• Forecasting Tornado Pathlengths Using a Three-Dimensional Object Identification Algorithm Applied to Convection-Allowing Forecasts 2012
• Sensitivity of 0-12-h Warm-Season Precipitation Forecasts over the Central United States to Model Initialization 2012
• Synthetic Satellite Imagery for Real-Time High-Resolution Model Evaluation 2012
• Multiscale Processes Leading to Supercells in the Landfalling Outer Rainbands of Hurricane Katrina (2005) 2011
• The Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction: Current Status and Development 2011
• A Weather-Pattern-Based Approach to Evaluate the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) Forecasts: Comparison to Automatic Weather Station Observations 2011
• Evaluation of Regional Aircraft Observations Using TAMDAR 2010
• Household Evacuation Decision Making and the Benefits of Improved Hurricane Forecasting: Developing a Framework for Assessment 2010
• Spring and Summer Midwestern Severe Weather Reports in Supercells Compared to Other Morphologies 2010
• Lower-Tropospheric Enhancement of Gravity Wave Drag in a Global Spectral Atmospheric Forecast Model 2008
• Short-range numerical weather prediction using time-lagged ensembles 2007
• Validation of the Coupled NCEP Mesoscale Spectral Model and an Advanced Land Surface Model over the Hawaiian Islands. Part I: Summer Trade Wind Conditions and a Heavy Rainfall Event* 2005
• The 4 June 1999 dexecho event: A particularly difficult challenge for numerical weather prediction 2005
• The societal, social, and economic impacts of the World Weather Research Programme Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project (WWRP S2000FDP) 2004
• Accuracy of RUC-1 and RUC-2 wind and aircraft trajectory forecasts by comparison with ACARS observations 2000
• Accuracy of ACARS wind and temperature observations determined by collocation 1999
• Normalized hurricane damages in the United States: 1925-95 1998
• A multivariate frequency-domain approach to long-lead climatic forecasting 1998
• Changes to the 1995 NCEP Operational Medium-Range Forecast Model Analysis–Forecast System 1997
• Occurrence of nonsurface superadiabatic lapse rates within RAOB data 1996
• A COMPARISON OF TEMPERATURE AND WIND MEASUREMENTS FROM ACARS-EQUIPPED AIRCRAFT AND RAWINSONDES 1995
• THE WEATHER INFORMATION AND SKILL EXPERIMENT (WISE) - THE EFFECT OF VARYING LEVELS OF INFORMATION ON FORECAST SKILL 1993

Research

keywords

• 0401 Atmospheric Sciences