selected publications
-
conference proceeding
-
A global view of air-sea thermal coupling and related non-Gaussian SST variability.
Atmospheric Research.
140-149.
2007
- An empirical-dynamical extended range forecast model incorporating tropical diabatic forcing. 99-102. 2001
- Changes of subseasonal variability associated with El Nino. 74-81. 2001
- Climate model biases introduced by parameterized orographic gravity wave drag. 21-24. 2001
- The annual and semi-annual cycles of atmospheric angular momentum. 263-263. 1999
- Barotropic rossby wave dynamics of zonally varying upper level flows during northern winter. 187-188. 1995
-
A global view of air-sea thermal coupling and related non-Gaussian SST variability.
Atmospheric Research.
140-149.
2007
-
journal article
-
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world.
Earth System Dynamics.
1081-1084.
2023
-
Improving Atmospheric Models by Accounting for Chaotic Physics.
Journal of Climate.
5569-5585.
2023
-
Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclone Activity in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3 (20CRv3) and Its Relationship with Continental Extreme Temperatures.
Atmosphere.
2022
-
Influence of warming and atmospheric circulation changes on multidecadal European flood variability.
Climate of the Past.
919-933.
2022
-
A mechanism for the skew of ensemble forecasts.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
1131-1143.
2022
-
Inconsistent Global Kinetic Energy Spectra in Reanalyses and Models.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
2589-2603.
2021
-
An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3.
Journal of Climate.
1417-1438.
2021
-
Impact of Annual Cycle on ENSO Variability and Predietability.
Journal of Climate.
171-193.
2021
-
Uncertainties in Ocean Latent Heat Flux Variations over Recent Decades in Satellite-Based Estimates and Reduced Observation Reanalyses.
Journal of Climate.
8415-8437.
2020
-
Does ENSO Regularity Increase in a Warming Climate?.
Journal of Climate.
1247-1259.
2020
-
Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
2876-2908.
2019
-
Predictability of US West Coast Ocean Temperatures is not solely due to ENSO.
Scientific Reports.
2019
-
What Is the Impact of Additional Tropical Observations on a Modern Data Assimilation System?.
Monthly Weather Review.
2433-2449.
2019
-
Sensitivities of the NCEP Global Forecast System.
Monthly Weather Review.
1237-1256.
2019
-
On the Dynamical Mechanisms Governing El Nino-Southern Oscillation Irregularity.
Journal of Climate.
8401-8419.
2018
-
The Nature of the Stochastic Wind Forcing of ENSO.
Journal of Climate.
8081-8099.
2018
-
ADVANCING SCIENCE AND SERVICES DURING THE 2015/16 EL NINO The NOAA El Nino Rapid Response Field Campaign.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
975-1002.
2018
-
Are we near the predictability limit of tropical Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures?.
Geophysical Research Letters.
8520-8529.
2017
-
Is El Nino really changing?.
Geophysical Research Letters.
8548-8556.
2017
-
An ensemble of ocean reanalyses for 1815-2013 with sparse observational input.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
6891-6910.
2016
-
Need for Caution in Interpreting Extreme Weather Statistics.
Journal of Climate.
9166-9187.
2015
-
Southward shift of the northern tropical belt from 1945 to 1980.
Nature Geoscience.
969-U110.
2015
-
Optimal precursors of different types of ENSO events.
Geophysical Research Letters.
9952-9960.
2015
-
Dynamical Downscaling and Loss Modeling for the Reconstruction of Historical Weather Extremes and Their Impacts: A Severe Foehn Storm in 1925.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
2015
-
A twentieth-century reanalysis forced ocean model to reconstruct the North Atlantic climate variation during the 1920s.
Climate Dynamics.
1935-1955.
2015
-
Understanding the distinctively skewed and heavy tailed character of atmospheric and oceanic probability distributions.
Chaos: an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science.
2015
-
Pacific Walker Circulation variability in coupled and uncoupled climate models.
Climate Dynamics.
103-117.
2014
-
Is the storminess in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis really inconsistent with observations? A reply to the comment by Krueger et al. (2013b).
Climate Dynamics.
1113-1125.
2014
-
Independent confirmation of global land warming without the use of station temperatures.
Geophysical Research Letters.
3170-3174.
2013
-
Trends and low frequency variability of extra-tropical cyclone activity in the ensemble of twentieth century reanalysis.
Climate Dynamics.
2775-2800.
2013
-
Relative Contributions of Synoptic and Low-Frequency Eddies to Time-Mean Atmospheric Moisture Transport, Including the Role of Atmospheric Rivers.
Journal of Climate.
7341-7361.
2012
-
Alternative interpretations of power-law distributions found in nature.
Chaos: an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science.
2012
-
Extreme winds at northern mid-latitudes since 1871.
Meteorologische Zeitschrift.
13-27.
2012
-
Sensitivity of the northeast Asian summer monsoon to tropical sea surface temperatures.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2011
-
Prospects for Improving Subseasonal Predictions.
Monthly Weather Review.
3648-3666.
2011
-
Critical influence of the pattern of Tropical Ocean warming on remote climate trends.
Climate Dynamics.
1577-1591.
2011
-
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
1-28.
2011
-
Removing ENSO-related variations from the climate record (vol 23, pg 1957, 2010).
Journal of Climate.
6124-6127.
2010
-
Realism of local and remote feedbacks on tropical sea surface temperatures in climate models.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
2010
-
Optimal Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Forcing of North American Drought.
Journal of Climate.
3907-3917.
2010
-
Removing ENSO-Related Variations from the Climate Record.
Journal of Climate.
1957-1978.
2010
-
THE 1918/19 EL NINO.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
177-183.
2010
-
How Important Is Air-Sea Coupling in ENSO and MJO Evolution?.
Journal of Climate.
2958-2977.
2009
-
Reconciling Non-Gaussian Climate Statistics with Linear Dynamics.
Journal of Climate.
1193-1207.
2009
-
Oceanic influences on recent continental warming.
Climate Dynamics.
333-342.
2009
-
Tropical and stratospheric influences on extratropical short-term climate variability.
Journal of Climate.
4326-4347.
2008
-
A Global view of non-Gaussian SST variability.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
639-647.
2008
-
Multiscale impacts of variable heating in climate.
Journal of Climate.
5677-5695.
2007
-
Sensitivity of global warming to the pattern of tropical ocean warming.
Climate Dynamics.
483-492.
2006
-
Understanding the mid-Holocene climate.
Journal of Climate.
2801-2817.
2006
-
Feasibility of a 100-year reanalysis using only surface pressure data.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
175-+.
2006
-
Tropical climate regimes and global climate sensitivity in a simple setting.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1226-1240.
2005
-
Storm track predictability on seasonal and decadal scales.
Journal of Climate.
3701-3720.
2004
-
Dynamic stabilization of atmospheric single column models.
Journal of Climate.
1004-1021.
2004
-
Usefulness of single column model diagnosis through short-term predictions.
Journal of Climate.
3803-3819.
2003
-
A study of subseasonal predictability.
Monthly Weather Review.
1715-1732.
2003
-
Drifts induced by multiplicative red noise with application to climate.
Europhysics Letters: a letters journal exploring the frontiers of physics.
498-504.
2003
-
Global atmospheric sensitivity to tropical SST anomalies throughout the Indo-Pacific basin.
Journal of Climate.
3427-3442.
2002
-
Local time- and space scales of organized tropical deep convection.
Journal of Climate.
2775-2790.
2002
-
A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I: Formulation and forecast skill.
Journal of Climate.
4474-4494.
2001
-
Changes of subseasonal variability associated with El Nino.
Journal of Climate.
3356-3374.
2001
-
The effect of ENSO on the intraseasonal variance of surface temperatures in winter.
International Journal of Climatology.
1543-1557.
2000
-
Another look at the annual and semiannual cycles of atmospheric angular momentum.
Journal of Climate.
3221-3238.
2000
-
An assessment of the NCEP, NASA, and ECMWF reanalyses over the tropical west Pacific warm pool.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
41-48.
2000
-
Changes of probability associated with El Nino.
Journal of Climate.
4268-4286.
2000
-
The effect of the 1997/98 El Nino on individual large-scale weather events.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
1399-1411.
1999
-
The balance of global angular momentum in a long-term atmospheric data set.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
2031-2040.
1999
-
The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific North American response to remote low-frequency forcing.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1336-1353.
1998
-
A linear theory of extratropical synoptic eddy statistics.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
237-258.
1998
-
Is the time-mean northern hemisphere flow baroclinically unstable?.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
41-56.
1998
-
The dynamics of intraseasonal atmospheric angular momentum oscillations.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1445-1461.
1997
-
Application of perturbation theory to the stability analysis of realistic atmospheric flows.
Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography.
321-336.
1997
-
Stochastic forcing of the wintertime extratropical flow.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
435-455.
1997
-
Free barotropic Rossby wave dynamics of the wintertime low-frequency flow.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
5-23.
1997
-
BAROTROPIC ROSSBY-WAVE DYNAMICS OF ZONALLY VARYING UPPER-LEVEL FLOWS DURING NORTHERN WINTER.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
3779-3796.
1995
-
ERROR AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF GEOPHYSICAL EIGENSYSTEMS.
Journal of Climate.
1988-1998.
1995
-
THE OPTIMAL-GROWTH OF TROPICAL SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES.
Journal of Climate.
1999-2024.
1995
-
A CAVEAT CONCERNING SINGULAR-VALUE DECOMPOSITION.
Journal of Climate.
352-360.
1995
-
THE ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR-MOMENTUM CYCLE-ASSOCIATED WITH A MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
3194-3208.
1994
-
THE BAROCLINIC CHI PROBLEM AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE DIAGNOSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC HEATING RATES.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1099-1112.
1993
-
AN ASSESSMENT OF LOW-FREQUENCY VARIABILITY IN THE TROPICS AS INDICATED BY SOME PROXIES OF TROPICAL CONVECTION.
Journal of Climate.
569-575.
1993
-
FACTORS DETERMINING THE EXTRATROPICAL RESPONSE TO EQUATORIAL DIABATIC HEATING ANOMALIES.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
907-918.
1993
-
THE DIAGNOSIS OF MECHANICAL DISSIPATION IN THE ATMOSPHERE FROM LARGE-SCALE BALANCE REQUIREMENTS.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
608-627.
1992
-
The Generation of Global Rotational Flow by Steady Idealized Tropical Divergence.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1228-1251.
1988
-
A Diagnostic Study of the Dynamics of the Northern Hemisphere Winter of 1985‐86.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
759-778.
1987
-
On the derivation of the divergent flow from the rotational flow: The χ problem.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
339-360.
1987
-
Transient Eddies and the Seasonal Mean Rotational Flow.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
328-338.
1987
-
Vorticity balances in the tropics during the 1982‐83 El Niñio‐Southern oscillation event.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
261-278.
1985
-
Spatial Smoothing on the Sphere.
Monthly Weather Review.
2524-2529.
1984
-
The Vorticity Balance in the Tropical Upper Troposphere of a General Circulation Model.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
768-778.
1984
-
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world.
Earth System Dynamics.
1081-1084.
2023