keywords mathematical foundations of structural reliability theory, general issues of natural hazards in the built environment, societal trade-offs based on risk perception, issues of built environment sustainability and resilience
selected publications book Perception of risk of natural hazards: a hazard mitigation plan framework. Ed. 17. 2014 The Quality of Science and Engineering at the NNSA National Security Laboratories Introduction 2013 The Quality of Science and Engineering at the NNSA National Security Laboratories Summary 2013 chapter Climate Change and Its Impacts. Climate Change Management. 2018 Uncertainty Theories, Overview 2015 A Vision for Coastal Risk Reduction. 133-150. 2014 Institutional Landscape for Coastal Risk Management. 39-68. 2014 Performance of Coastal Risk Reduction Strategies. 69-110. 2014 Principles for Guiding the Nation's Future Investments in Coastal Risk Reduction. 111-132. 2014 Reducing Coastal Risk on the East and Gulf Coasts Introduction. 11-37. 2014 Reducing Coastal Risk on the East and Gulf Coasts Preface. XI-+. 2014 Reducing Coastal Risk on the East and Gulf Coasts Summary. 1-10. 2014 conference proceeding Belief and Basic Evidence Theory for Combining Expert Seismic Risk Assessments 2018 Communicating Community Infrastructure Risks 2017 Multiple Hazards and Social Vulnerability for the Denver Region. 386-405. 2017 The Engineer as Political Decision Maker and Political Leader 2017 Uncertainty Quantification of Seismic Structural Systems: The Role of Generalized Information Theory 2017 Planning for Community Resilience under Climate Uncertainty 2016 Resilience: Communities Are More Than a Portfolio of Buildings. 1619-1628. 2015 Political pitfalls in hazards planning. 2238-2245. 2011 Rebuilding L'Aquila following the 2009 earthquake: Priorities and perspectives. 2222-2230. 2011 The role of uncertainty in the political process for risk investment decisions. 2753-2760. 2011 A systems approach to assessing the sustainability of the Grand Canal of China. 1269-1276. 2010 Sustainable infrastructure development for Guizhou province in southwest China: A life cycle assessment approach. 57-58. 2007 Political management issues and societal risk trade-off for the built environment. 537-542. 2004 Risk and uncertainty. 781-786. 2003 Socially relevant structural safety. 15-24. 2003 Risk-setting policy strategies for hazards. 1-8. 2003 Simplified stochastic modeling and simulation of unidirectional fiber reinforced composites. 99-105. 2002 Extreme value theory and mixed distributions - Applications. 27-33. 1999 Extreme wind estimation: Theoretical considerations. 1351-1358. 1997 Reliability-based structural system optimization: State-of-the-art versus state-of-the-practice. 67-78. 1996 Optimal rehabilitation of locally damaged structures using the pseudo distortion method. 606-612. 1996 A partially observable Markov decision process model for bridge inspection and maintenance. 1523-1528. 1995 Synthesis of session 7c: Optimisation techniques and codes: Knowledge based design. 1457-1458. 1995 RELIABILITY-BASED LIFE-CYCLE COSTING IN STRUCTURAL DESIGN. 685-692. 1993 STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY-ANALYSIS OF NONLINEAR-SYSTEMS. 1345-1352. 1993 journal article Combined evidence model to enhance pavement condition prediction from highly uncertain sensor data. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 2022 STEM Retention: A Retrospective of Three Civil Engineers. Journal of STEM Education (Online): innovations and research. 58-62. 2020 Social Indicators to Inform Community Evacuation Modeling and Planning. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2020 Combinatorial analysis for probabilistic assessment of dependent failures in systems and portfolios. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics. 2020 Predicting Postdisaster Residential Housing Reconstruction Based on Market Resources. Natural Hazards Review. 2020 Dempster-Shafer Theory applications in post-seismic structural damage and social vulnerability assessment. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure. 201-213. 2020 Representing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering with Dempster Shafer (Evidence) Theory. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure. 2019 Representing uncertainty in natural hazard risk assessment with Dempster Shafer (Evidence) theory. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure. 137-151. 2019 Confined Masonry Shear Walls: Experimental Testing and Analysis. Masonry Society Journal. 1-18. 2017 Multihazard Mapping of the United States. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2017 First-Order Reliability Approach to Quantify and Improve Building Portfolio Resilience. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2016 An Overview of Uncertainty Concepts Related to Mechanical and Civil Engineering. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part B: Mechanical Engineering. 2015 Application of Fuzzy Pattern Recognition of Seismic Damage to Concrete Structures. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2015 Optimising portfolio loss reduction using a first-order reliability method sensitivity analysis. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 1190-1198. 2015 Framework Methodology for Risk-Based Decision Making for Transportation Agencies. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 2015 Building portfolio seismic loss assessment using the First-Order Reliability Method. Structural Safety. 113-120. 2015 Strategies of investment in the management of urban bridges: a life-cycle approach illustrated for Paris. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 1080-1093. 2013 Perceptions of Decision-Making Roles and Priorities That Affect Rebuilding after Disaster: The Example of L'Aquila, Italy. Earthquake Spectra. 843-868. 2013 An overview approach to seismic awareness for a "quiescent" region. Natural Hazards. 335-363. 2013 Seismic Risk and Society Development Indicators: Examination of Three Countries. Natural Hazards Review. 122-133. 2013 A retrospective approach to assessing the sustainability of the Grand Canal of China. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 297-316. 2013 Including User Cost and Risk Analysis During Construction in Highway Bridge Structure Selection. Journal of Transportation Safety and Security. 211-224. 2012 The variability of deformation demand with ground motion intensity. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics. 59-65. 2012 Multi-attribute aspects for risk assessment of natural hazards. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management. 437-437. 2010 Politics, perception and related social issues of life-cycle cost management for civil infrastructure systems. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 1-1. 2009 Risk communication with generalized uncertainty and linguistics. Structural Safety. 113-117. 2009 Societal issues in adopting life-cycle concepts within the political system. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 59-65. 2009 Extreme value index and tail probability estimates for mixed distributions. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics. 385-392. 2008 In memoriam - C. Allin Cornell. Structural Safety. 181-182. 2008 Highway user travel time evaluation. Journal of Transportation Engineering Part A: Systems. 663-669. 2007 Alternative valuation of highway user delay costs. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems. 87-97. 2007 Gender dimensions of building code disparities in natural disasters: A United States perspective. Australian Journal of Civil Engineering. 15-26. 2007 Modeling of risk-based inspection, maintenance and life-cycle cost with partially observable Markov decision processes. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 75-84. 2005 An educational experiment to address infrastructure needs. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures. 269-280. 2005 Reliable Design Loads for Natural Phenomena: Illustration with Wind Speeds. Natural Hazards Review. 40-47. 2004 Simplified stochastic modeling and simulation of unidirectional fiber reinforced composites. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics. 33-40. 2004 Design wind speed prediction. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1268-1274. 2003 Special issue on the Eighth International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability (ICOSSAR '01) - Guest editorial. Structural Safety. 87-87. 2002 Optimal Life-Cycle Costing with Partial Observability. Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 56-66. 2000 Geometric nonlinear analysis of frame structures by pseudodistortions. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1318-1327. 1999 Nonlinear analysis of frame structures by pseudodistortions. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1309-1317. 1999 Reanalysis of rigid frame structures by the virtual distortion method. Structural Optimization -Berlin-. 71-79. 1996 DOMINANT FAILURE MODES FOR STRUCTURES WITH STOCHASTIC LOAD PROCESSES. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 1252-1260. 1995 Inspection, Maintenance, and Repair with Partial Observability. Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 92-99. 1995 RELIABILITY-BASED STRUCTURAL DESIGN WITH MARKOV DECISION-PROCESSES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 971-980. 1995 DIRECT INTEGRATION METHOD FOR STOCHASTIC FINITE-ELEMENT ANALYSIS OF NONLINEAR DYNAMIC-RESPONSE. Structural Engineering and Mechanics. 273-287. 1995 LIMIT STATES OF LOAD-PATH-DEPENDENT STRUCTURES IN BASIC VARIABLE SPACE. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 299-308. 1995 RELIABILITY-BASED BRIDGE DESIGN AND LIFE-CYCLE MANAGEMENT WITH MARKOV DECISION-PROCESSES. Structural Safety. 111-132. 1994 SPECIAL ISSUE ON RELIABILITY-BASED STRUCTURAL SYSTEM ASSESSMENT, DESIGN AND OPTIMIZATION. Structural Safety. 1-1. 1994 RELIABILITY-ANALYSIS OF RIGID-PLASTIC STRUCTURES BY THE STATIC APPROACH. Structural Safety. 209-235. 1994 UNTITLED. Structural Safety. 1-1. 1994 RISK MANAGEMENT. Structural Safety. 143-143. 1994 OPTIMIZATION OF STRUCTURAL FRAMES WITH ELASTIC AND PLASTIC CONSTRAINTS. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems. 147-169. 1993 ASSESSING COST OF DAM FAILURE. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management - ASCE. 64-82. 1993 STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION MODELS FOR STRUCTURAL-RELIABILITY ANALYSIS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 223-239. 1993 COLLAPSE MECHANISM IDENTIFICATION USING A SYSTEM-BASED OBJECTIVE. Structural Safety. 157-171. 1992 STRUCTURAL SYSTEM RELIABILITY CONSIDERATIONS WITH FRAME INSTABILITY. Engineering structures. 371-378. 1992 RELIABILITY OF PORTAL FRAMES WITH INTERACTING STRESS RESULTANTS - DISCUSSION. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1976-1977. 1992 GENERATION OF CRITICAL STOCHASTIC EARTHQUAKES. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics. 275-288. 1992 WIND-INDUCED RESPONSE OF STRUCTURALLY ASYMMETRIC HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 207-222. 1992 STOCHASTIC PROGRAMS FOR IDENTIFYING CRITICAL STRUCTURAL COLLAPSE MECHANISMS. Applied Mathematical Modelling. 367-373. 1991 CRITICAL BASE EXCITATIONS OF STRUCTURAL SYSTEMS. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 1403-1422. 1991 LOAD COMBINATIONS FOR BUILDINGS EXPOSED TO FIRES. Engineering Journal. 37-44. 1991 DYNAMIC-RESPONSE OF TALL BUILDINGS TO STOCHASTIC WIND LOAD. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2982-3002. 1990 LIMIT STATE SENSITIVITY OF STRUCTURAL FRAMES SUBJECTED TO CYCLIC FORCES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2824-2841. 1990 TRANSFER-FUNCTION MODELS FOR DETERMINING DYNAMIC WIND LOADS ON BUILDINGS. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics. 449-458. 1990 TRANSFER-FUNCTION MODELING OF DYNAMIC WIND LOADS ON BUILDINGS. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 1473-1488. 1990 APPLICATION OF MATHEMATICAL-PROGRAMMING TO SYSTEM RELIABILITY. Structural Safety. 149-154. 1990 STRUCTURAL SYSTEM RELIABILITY USING LINEAR-PROGRAMMING AND SIMULATION. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2435-2447. 1989 Future of Civil Engineering Profession and Role of Education. Journal of Professional Issues in Engineering - ASCE. 117-124. 1989 FAILURE COST DESIGN OF STRUCTURAL SYSTEMS. Structural Safety. 239-252. 1988 MULTIPARAMETRIC LIMIT ANALYSIS OF FRAMES .1. MODEL. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 377-386. 1988 MULTIPARAMETRIC LIMIT ANALYSIS OF FRAMES .2. COMPUTATIONS. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 387-403. 1988 Near‐Optimality Analysis for Linear Models. Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering. 91-95. 1988 RELIABILITY-BASED CODE FORMULATIONS FOR REINFORCED-CONCRETE BUILDINGS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2235-2252. 1987 Reliability of Random Structural Systems and Load Space Reduction. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2145-2159. 1987 FAILURE MODE-IDENTIFICATION FOR STRUCTURAL FRAMES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1415-1432. 1987 WOOD DAMAGE ACCUMULATION BY STOCHASTIC LOAD MODELS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2402-2415. 1986 NONLINEAR RESPONSE TO SUSTAINED LOAD PROCESSES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 142-157. 1985 RELIABILITY OF DUCTILE SYSTEMS WITH RANDOM STRENGTHS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1306-1325. 1985 STOCHASTIC-ANALYSIS OF WIND STREAM AND TURBINE POWER. Solar Energy. 297-309. 1985 CONDITIONED GAUSSIAN PROBABILITY DENSITY. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 115-119. 1984 RELIABILITY OF NONLINEAR FRAMED STRUCTURES - CLOSURE. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1922-1923. 1984 ESTIMATES OF DESIGN WIND FROM SHORT RECORDS - DISCUSSION. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1324-1326. 1983 GENERALIZED WIND-SPEED PROBABILITY-DISTRIBUTION. Journal of Engineering Mechanics - ASCE. 14-29. 1983 INELASTIC TANGENTIAL STIFFNESS FOR 2-D FRAMES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 2685-2697. 1983 MEAN OF AUTO-CORRELATED AIR-QUALITY MEASUREMENTS - CLOSURE. Journal of Environmental Engineering (United States). 531-533. 1983 OBSERVATIONS ON STRUCTURAL SYSTEM RELIABILITY AND THE ROLE OF MODAL CORRELATIONS. Structural Safety. 189-198. 1983 PROBABILISTIC LOAD DURATION MODEL FOR LIVE LOADS. Journal of Structural Engineering. 859-874. 1983 RELIABILITY OF NON-LINEAR FRAMED STRUCTURES. Journal of Structural Engineering. 1585-1601. 1983 BAYESIAN PERSISTENCE ANALYSIS FOR WIND ENERGY. Journal of the Energy Division - ASCE. 116-127. 1982 BAYESIAN-ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL. Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division. 1198-1214. 1982 DELPHI METHODS - THEORY AND DESIGN LOAD APPLICATION - CLOSURE. Journal of the Structural Division. 2631-2632. 1982 ESTIMATING THE MAXIMUM VALUE OF AUTO-CORRELATED AIR-QUALITY MEASUREMENTS. Atmospheric Environment. 2603-2608. 1982 MEAN OF AUTO-CORRELATED AIR-QUALITY MEASUREMENTS. American Society of Civil Engineers, Journal of the Environmental Engineering Division. 488-501. 1982 A COMPARATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD STUDY FOR AZERBAIJAN PROVINCE IN IRAN. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 335-362. 1981 AREA-DEPENDENT PROCESSES FOR STRUCTURAL LIVE LOADS. Journal of the Structural Division. 857-872. 1981 DELPHI METHODS - THEORY AND DESIGN LOAD APPLICATION. Journal of the Structural Division. 1095-1105. 1981 SIMULATION OF HOURLY WIND-SPEED AND ARRAY WIND POWER. Solar Energy. 199-212. 1981 CONFIDENCE-INTERVAL PROCEDURES FOR WIND TURBINE CANDIDATE SITES. Solar Energy. 427-433. 1980 PROBABILITY MODEL FOR DESIGN LIVE LOADS. Journal of the Structural Division. 2017-2033. 1980 STOCHASTIC NATURE OF BUILDING LIVE LOADS - CLOSURE. Journal of the Structural Division. 1658-1659. 1980 TECHNIQUES FOR SPATIAL EXTRAPOLATION OF WIND DATA - DISCUSSION. Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division. 1453-1456. 1980 RUN DURATION ANALYSIS OF SURFACE WIND SPEEDS FOR WIND ENERGY APPLICATION. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 156-166. 1979 STOCHASTIC NATURE OF BUILDING LIVE LOADS. Journal of the Structural Division. 493-510. 1979 SUM OF INDEPENDENT GAMMA LIVE LOADS MODEL. Journal of the Structural Division. 1701-1705. 1979 HOSPITAL INVENTORY LOAD SURVEY. Journal of the Structural Division. 1859-1868. 1978 PROBABILITY MODELS OF WIND VELOCITY MAGNITUDE AND PERSISTENCE. Solar Energy. 483-493. 1978 MODULUS OF SOIL REACTION VALUES FOR BURIED FLEXIBLE PIPE. Journal of the Geotechnical Engineering Division, ASCE. 1034-1036. 1977 OSCILLATOR RESPONSE TO MODULATED RANDOM-EXCITATION. Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division. 501-513. 1977 PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF PREDICTED AND MEASURED SETTLEMENTS. Canadian Geotechnical Journal. 17-33. 1977 PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF PREDICTED AND MEASURED SETTLEMENTS - REPLY. Canadian Geotechnical Journal. 276-277. 1977 PROBABILITY MODELS FOR LIVE-LOAD SURVEY RESULTS. Journal of the Structural Division. 1257-1274. 1977 STOCHASTIC CONSIDERATIONS IN THUNDERSTORM MODELING. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering. 1479-1480. 1977 VARIANCE ANALYSIS OF WIND CHARACTERISTICS FOR ENERGY-CONVERSION. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 1149-1157. 1977 STOCHASTIC CONSIDERATIONS IN THUNDERSTORM MODELING. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering. 865-879. 1976 INVERSE METHOD FOR DETERMINING APPROXIMATE STRESS-STRAIN BEHAVIOR OF SOILS. Journal of Testing and Evaluation. 51-61. 1975 RESPONSE OF STRUCTURES TO RANDOM WIND FORCES. Journal of the Structural Division. 2557-2571. 1975 TIME-DEPENDENT SPECTRAL CONTENT OF SYSTEM RESPONSE. Journal of the Engineering Mechanics Division. 623-636. 1975
education and training Ph.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1971 M.S., Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1968 B.S., Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1967
awards and honors Structural Engineering Institute/SEI Fellows, conferred by American Society of Civil Engineers, 2021 OPAL Leadership Award, conferred by American Society of Civil Engineers, 2019 Engineering Mechanics Division/EMI Fellow, conferred by American Society of Civil Engineers, 2013 Teaching Award, conferred by Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, 2012 Distinguished Members, conferred by American Society of Civil Engineers, 2011 Clarence L. Eckel Faculty Prize for Excellence, conferred by Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, 2010 Jefferson Science Fellows at the U.S. Dept. of State, conferred by National Academies, The, 2007 BFA Award for Excellence in Teaching and Pedagogy, conferred by Boulder Faculty Assembly, 2006 Service Award, conferred by Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, 2006 Distinguished Achievement Award, conferred by Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, 2003 Membership, conferred by National Academy of Engineering, 2002 Distinguished Engineering Alumni Award, conferred by College of Engineering and Applied Science, 2000 Walter L. Huber Civil Engineering Research Prize, conferred by American Society of Civil Engineers, 1984