selected publications
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book
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chapter
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journal article
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Evaluating Large-Storm Dominance in High-Resolution GCMs and Observations Across the Western Contiguous United States.
Earth's Future.
2024
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Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP6.
Earth's Future.
2024
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A New GFSv15 With FV3 Dynamical Core Based Climate Model Large Ensemble and Its Application to Understanding Climate Variability, and Predictability.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
2024
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Why Has the Summertime Central US Warming Hole Not Disappeared?.
Journal of Climate.
7319-7336.
2023
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Ensemble of CMIP6 derived reference and potential evapotranspiration with radiative and advective components.
Scientific Data.
2023
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A New GFSv15 based Climate Model Large Ensemble and Its Application to Understanding Climate Variability, and Predictability
2023
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When record breaking heat waves should not surprise: skewness, heavy tails and implications for risk assessment
2022
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Development of a Rapid Response Capability to Evaluate Causes of Extreme Temperature and Drought Events in the United States.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
S14-S20.
2022
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Preconditions for extreme wet winters over the contiguous United States.
Weather and Climate Extremes.
2021
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Explaining the Spatial Pattern of US Extreme Daily Precipitation Change.
Journal of Climate.
2759-2775.
2021
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Projections of Mountain Snowpack Loss for Wolverine Denning Elevations in the Rocky Mountains.
Earth's Future.
2020
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Present and Past Sea Surface Temperatures: A Recipe for Better Seasonal Climate Forecasts.
Weather and Forecasting.
1221-1234.
2020
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Facility for Weather and Climate Assessments (FACTS) A Community Resource for Assessing Weather and Climate Variability.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
E1214-E1224.
2020
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CLIMATE CHANGE Threatening the vigor of the Colorado River.
Science.
1192-1193.
2020
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Causes for the Century-Long Decline in Colorado River Flow.
Journal of Climate.
8181-8203.
2019
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Climate Assessments for Local Action.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
2147-2152.
2019
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ADVANCING SCIENCE AND SERVICES DURING THE 2015/16 EL NINO The NOAA El Nino Rapid Response Field Campaign.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
975-1002.
2018
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Predictability and Prediction of Southern California Rains during Strong El Nino Events: A Focus on the Failed 2016 Winter Rains.
Journal of Climate.
555-574.
2018
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Designing ecological climate change impact assessments to reflect key climatic drivers.
Global Change Biology.
2537-2553.
2017
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Drought risk assessment under climate change is sensitive to methodological choices for the estimation of evaporative demand.
PLoS One.
2017
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Projected wetland densities under climate change: habitat loss but little geographic shift in conservation strategy.
Ecological Applications.
1677-1692.
2016
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Evaluating the Appropriateness of Downscaled Climate Information for Projecting Risks of Salmonella.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.
2016
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Catchment response to bark beetle outbreak and dust-on-snow in the Colorado Rocky Mountains.
Journal of Hydrology.
196-210.
2015
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Filling in the gaps: Inferring spatially distributed precipitation from gauge observations over complex terrain.
Water Resources Research.
8589-8610.
2014
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The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections.
Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union.
424-425.
2013
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Greenhouse Gas-Induced Changes in Summer Precipitation over Colorado in NARCCAP Regional Climate Models.
Journal of Climate.
8690-8697.
2013
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High-Resolution Downscaled Simulations of Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Events in the Colorado Front Range under Past and Future Climates.
Journal of Climate.
8671-8689.
2013
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Combined impacts of current and future dust deposition and regional warming on Colorado River Basin snow dynamics and hydrology.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.
4401-4413.
2013
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Comparing two methods to estimate the sensitivity of regional climate simulations to tropical SST anomalies.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
2012
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Mid-21st century projections in temperature extremes in the southern Colorado Rocky Mountains from regional climate models.
Climate Dynamics.
1823-1840.
2012
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Two Faces of Uncertainty: Climate Science and Water Utility Planning Methods.
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management.
389-395.
2012
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Changes in hail and flood risk in high-resolution simulations over Colorado's mountains.
Nature Climate Change.
125-131.
2012
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Homogeneity of Gridded Precipitation Datasets for the Colorado River Basin.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.
2404-2415.
2010
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Comment on "When will Lake Mead go dry?" by T. P. Barnett and D. W. Pierce.
Water Resources Research.
2009
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Water supply risk on the Colorado River: Can management mitigate?.
Water Resources Research.
2009
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Comment on "Global warming and United States landfalling hurricanes'' by Chunzai Wang and Sang-Ki Lee.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2009
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Rates of thermohaline recovery from freshwater pulses in modern, Last Glacial Maximum, and greenhouse warming climates.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2007
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Sensitivity of global warming to the pattern of tropical ocean warming.
Climate Dynamics.
483-492.
2006
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Understanding the mid-Holocene climate.
Journal of Climate.
2801-2817.
2006
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Tropical climate regimes and global climate sensitivity in a simple setting.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
1226-1240.
2005
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A note on estimating drift and diffusion parameters from timeseries.
Physics Letters A: General Physics, Nonlinear Science, Statistical Physics, Atomic, Molecular and Cluster Physics, Plasma and Fluid Physics, Condensed Matter, Cross-disciplinary Physics, Biological Physics, Nanosciences, Quantum Physics.
304-311.
2002
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Global atmospheric sensitivity to tropical SST anomalies throughout the Indo-Pacific basin.
Journal of Climate.
3427-3442.
2002
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A Linear Diagnosis of the Coupled Extratropical Ocean-Atmosphere System in the GFDL GCM.
Atmospheric Science Letters.
14-25.
2000
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The effect of the 1997/98 El Nino on individual large-scale weather events.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
1399-1411.
1999
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The basic effects of atmosphere-ocean thermal coupling on midlatitude variability.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
477-493.
1998
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Study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle.
Monthly Weather Review.
831-845.
1997
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Evaluating Large-Storm Dominance in High-Resolution GCMs and Observations Across the Western Contiguous United States.
Earth's Future.
2024