selected publications

• journal article

  • Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center's Mesoscale Precipitation.  Weather and Forecasting. 915-924. 2024
  • Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods.  Weather and Forecasting. 971-984. 2023
    
  • An Efficient Ensemble Technique for Hydrologic Forecasting Driven by Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts.  Journal of Hydrometeorology. 479-495. 2023
    
  • Innovations in Winter Storm Forecasting and Decision Support Services.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E715-E735. 2023
    
  • The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E542-E562. 2023
    
  From Random Forests to Flood Forecasts A Research to Operations Success Story.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E1742-E1755. 2021
  
  Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product.  Weather and Forecasting. 325-340. 2021
  Verification Results from the 2017 HMT-WPC Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiment.  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 2591-2604. 2019
  
  Evaluation and Postprocessing of Ensemble Fire Weather Predictions over the Northeast United States.  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 1135-1153. 2018
  
  Development of a Fire Weather Index Using Meteorological Observations within the Northeast United States.  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 389-402. 2016
  Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States.  Weather and Forecasting. 1449-1469. 2012
  ... more