selected publications
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book
- Working with a changing climate, not against it: Hydro-meteorological disaster risk reduction: A survey of lessons learned for resilient adaptation to a changing climate 2014
- The Caspian Sea Encyclopedia 2010
- Usable Thoughts Climate, Water and Weather in the Twenty-first Century 2010
- Teleconnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies 2009
- Heads up! Early warning systems for climate-, water- and weather-related hazards 2009
- Creeping Environmental Problems and Sustainable Development in the Aral Sea Basin 1999
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chapter
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Using a Spare Time University for Climate Change Education.
193-204.
2010
- Climate Change and Small Pelagic Fish Foreword. XV-XVII. 2009
- Sea level change and the coastal urban flooding. 112-121. 2008
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Using a Spare Time University for Climate Change Education.
193-204.
2010
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conference proceeding
- The regionalization of climate-related environmental problems. 3-10. 1996
- Forecasting by analogy: Local responses to global climate change. 407-426. 1995
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Assessing the impacts of climate: The issue of winners and losers in a global climate change context.
Studies in Environmental Science.
41-54.
1994
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Drought follows the plow: Cultivating marginal areas.
125-128.
1992
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journal article
-
For the Record: Second Thoughts on Early Warning, Early Action (EWEA), EW4All, or EWEA4All?.
Atmosphere.
2023
-
Mainstreaming the Full ENSO: Linking Present Weather and Future Climate.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
2022
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Forecast Hesitancy: Why are People Reluctant to Believe, Accept, or Respond to Various Weather, Water, and Climate Hazard-Related Forecasts?.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
600-609.
2021
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Reviewing the Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) to Enhance Societal Readiness for El Nino's Impacts.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
394-403.
2020
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Local responses to disasters: recent lessons from zero-order responders.
Disaster Prevention and Management: an international journal.
119-125.
2019
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Preparedness for slow-onset environmental disasters: Drawing lessons from three decades of El Nino impacts.
Sustainable Development.
553-563.
2018
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El Nino and the Koppen-Geiger Classification: A Prototype Concept and Methodology for Mapping Impacts in Central America and the Circum-Caribbean.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
224-236.
2018
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What Does It Mean to Be El Nino Ready?.
Atmosphere.
2018
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IMPROVISATION in the Time of Disaster.
Environment: science and policy for sustainable development.
4-17.
2018
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Analyzing the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
105-106.
2015
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Reexamining El Nino and Cholera in Peru: A Climate Affairs Approach.
Weather, Climate and Society.
148-161.
2013
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Thoughts on Dealing with Climate Change ... As if the Future Matters.
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science.
1-8.
2013
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Risk Zones: Comparative Lesson Drawing and Policy Learning from Flood Insurance Programs.
Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: research and practice.
143-159.
2012
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An essay on the interactions between climate and society.
Frontiers of Earth Science in China.
356-363.
2008
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Aral Sea basin: A sea dies, a sea also rises.
Ambio.
323-327.
2007
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ENSO as an integrating concept in Earth science.
Science.
1740-1745.
2006
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Clarifying the attribution of recent disaster losses. A response to Epstein and McCarthy.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
1481-1483.
2005
- State making and environmental cooperation: Linking domestic and international politics in Central Asia. Middle East Journal. 345-347. 2003
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Zimbabwe's food crisis.
Environment: science and policy for sustainable development.
9-11.
2003
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Effective and equitable dissemination of seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts: Policy implications from the Peruvian fishery during El Nino 1997-98.
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change.
415-438.
2002
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Exploring the concept of climate surprise.
Global Environmental Change.
97-107.
2000
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Predictive skill of statistical and dynamical climate models in SST forecasts during the 1997-98 El Nino episode and the 1998 La Nina onset.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
217-243.
1999
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Does the Aral Sea merit heritage status?.
Global Environmental Change.
357-380.
1997
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Preparing for El Nino: What role for forecasts.
Environment: science and policy for sustainable development.
6-29.
1997
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The Great Lakes diversion at Chicago and its implications for climate change.
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change.
199-214.
1996
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Serving science and society: Lessons from large-scale atmospheric science programs.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
2445-2458.
1995
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TRAGEDY IN THE ARAL SEA BASIN - LOOKING BACK TO PLAN AHEAD.
Global Environmental Change.
174-198.
1993
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GLOBAL WARMING AND ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA.
Global Environmental Change.
183-204.
1992
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THE USE OF ANALOGIES IN FORECASTING ECOLOGICAL AND SOCIETAL RESPONSES TO GLOBAL WARMING.
Environment: science and policy for sustainable development.
10-&.
1991
- ENVIRONMENTAL-RESEARCH. Scientist (Philadelphia, Pa.). 14-15. 1991
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DOES HISTORY HAVE A FUTURE - FORECASTING CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON FISHERIES BY ANALOGY.
Fisheries.
39-44.
1990
-
RUNNING ON EMPTY - IRRIGATION IS DEPLETING A VAST RESERVOIR UNDER THE AMERICAN GREAT-PLAINS.
The Sciences.
16-20.
1990
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CLIMATE AND ECONOMIC COMPETITIVENESS - FLORIDA FREEZES AND THE GLOBAL CITRUS PROCESSING-INDUSTRY.
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change.
135-164.
1988
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DROUGHT IN AFRICA.
Scientific American.
34-40.
1987
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ANATOMY OF A RAINFALL INDEX.
Monthly Weather Review.
764-771.
1986
-
IMPROVING FEDERAL RESPONSE TO DROUGHT.
Journal of Climatology & Applied Meteorology.
332-342.
1986
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MAN, STATE, AND FISHERIES - AN INQUIRY INTO SOME SOCIETAL CONSTRAINTS THAT AFFECT FISHERIES MANAGEMENT.
Ocean Development and International Law.
191-270.
1986
- DROUGHT AS A CONSTRAINT TO DEVELOPMENT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA. Ambio. 334-339. 1985
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EXPERT JUDGMENT AND CLIMATE FORECASTING - A METHODOLOGICAL CRITIQUE OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE YEAR 2000.
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change.
159-183.
1985
- FLOODS, FIRES, AND FAMINE - IS EL-NINO TO BLAME. Oceanus.. 14-19. 1984
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THE OGALLALA AQUIFER AND CARBON-DIOXIDE - COMPARISON AND CONVERGENCE.
Environmental Conservation: an international journal of environmental science.
123-131.
1984
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CONSEQUENCES AND RESPONSIBILITIES IN DROUGHT FORECASTING - THE CASE OF YAKIMA, 1977.
Water Resources Research.
3-13.
1982
- EL-NINO - LESSONS FOR COASTAL FISHERIES IN AFRICA. Oceanus.. 9-17. 1980
- MAN, STATE AND THE ENVIRONMENT - AN INQUIRY INTO WHETHER SOLUTIONS TO DESERTIFICATION IN THE WEST-AFRICAN SAHEL ARE KNOWN BUT NOT APPLIED. Canadian Journal of Development Studies. 75-97. 1980
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SCIENCE, POLITICS AND ECONOMICS OF THE PERUVIAN ANCHOVETA FISHERY.
Marine Policy.
201-210.
1979
- SOME CLIMATOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF OCEAN RESOURCE EXPLOITATION IN THE PACIFIC GREAT-BASIN - PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT. ACS National Meeting Book of Abstracts. 24-24. 1979
- WEATHER-MODIFICATION FOR FOOD-PRODUCTION - PANACEA OR PLACEBO. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation. 132-134. 1979
-
DESERT RAINFALL.
Nature.
7-7.
1978
- RENDER UNTO WEATHER. Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 305-306. 1978
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9 FALLACIES OF NATURAL DISASTER - CASE OF SAHEL.
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change.
69-84.
1977
- SOCIAL VALUE OF A RELIABLE LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST. Ekistics; reviews on the problems and science of human settlements. 305-313. 1977
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WHEN IS A DROUGHT A DROUGHT.
Nature.
192-193.
1977
- SAHELIAN DROUGHT - NO VICTORY FOR ANYONE. Africa Today. 57-61. 1975
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SCIENTISTS AND POLITICIANS.
Science.
88-88.
1975
-
For the Record: Second Thoughts on Early Warning, Early Action (EWEA), EW4All, or EWEA4All?.
Atmosphere.
2023